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The Chances Of Winning The UK National Lottery

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The UK National Lottery is drawn twice per week on a Wednesday and a Saturday night - seven balls are drawn out of a randomiser machine which contains 49 balls (numbered 1 to 49).  In order to win the UK National Lottery Jackpot, you need to match all six of the first six balls to come out of the machine (the main balls).  The seventh ball is known as the Bonus Ball. There are smaller prizes available for matching three or more of the main balls on their own and for matching five of the main balls plus the Bonus Ball.

  • The Jackpot - 6 Numbers (Typical prize: £2 million)
    6 numbers are drawn at random from the set of integers between 1 and 49, which means there are 49!/(6!*(49-6)!) combinations of numbers - this means that the jackpot chance is 1 in 13,983,816 or approximately 1 in 14 million.
     

  • 5 Numbers + Bonus Number (Typical prize: £100,000)
    You are still matching 6 numbers from the 1 to 49 set as above, but you can now do it in 6 different ways (by dropping each of the main numbers in turn), therefore the chance is 1 in 13,983,816/6, which works out as 1 in 2,330,636.
     

  • 5 Numbers (Typical prize: £1,500)
    This is 42 times more likely than getting 5 numbers + the bonus number - the chance is 1 in 2,330,636/42, which evaluates to 1 in 55,491.33333.
     

  • 4 Numbers (Typical prize: £65)
    Firstly, let's take the case of the first 4 of your numbers matching and the last 2 not matching.
    In this single case (where each set of chances relies on the previous event occurring):

    Chance that your 1st number matches a winning lottery number is 1 in 49/6.
    Chance that your 2nd number matches a winning lottery number is 1 in 48/5.
    Chance that your 3rd number matches a winning lottery number is 1 in 47/4.
    Chance that your 4th number matches a winning lottery number is 1 in 46/3.
    Chance that your 5th number doesn't match a winning number is 1 in 45/(45-2) [because there are still 2 unmatched winning numbers].
    Chance that your 6th number doesn't match a winning number is 1 in 44/(44-2) [yes, still 2 unmatched winning numbers].

    Now you need to accumulate all those chances by multiplying them together:
    1 in (49/6)*(48/5)*(47/4)*(46/3)*(45/43)*(44/42) which is 1 in 15486.953.
    Now this is the chance for that single case occurring, but there are 15 combinations of matching 4 from 6, so you divide the answer by 15 to get 1 in 15486.953/15 or 1 in 1032.4.
     

  • 3 Numbers (Constant prize: £10)
    Follow exactly the same scheme as the 4 match above to get these figures:
    1 in (49/6)*(48/5)*(47/4)*(46/43)*(45/42)*(44/41) (which is 1 in 1133.119) for a single case.
    There are 20 combinations of 3 from 6, so the chance of a 3 match is 1 in 1133.119/20 or 1 in 56.7.

The chance of you winning any of the above prizes is approximately 54 to 1 - it is reckoned an average of one million people per draw will win a prize.

So how do I improve my chances of winning?

Virtual World Direct Online UK Lotto Syndicates - increase your chances of winning to 1 in 13.

Because the UK national lottery is a pure game of chance, there is only one way of increasing your chances of winning - enter more times!  However, at the cost of £1 per ticket, you would have to look to spend £57 to have a high chance of winning even £10 in one draw.  It is for this reason that many people look to join a syndicate at work or with their friends, so that for £1 you get several entries into a draw and then just have to share out the winnings between everyone (presuming you trust each other and everyone puts their money into the syndicate each week).

However, there is another way - joining an online lottery syndicate.  We ourselves have joined Virtual World Direct, which guarantees 44 entries into both the Wednesday and Saturday UK Lottery draws for £5 a week (you join a syndicate of 49 other players).  You can view details of how we get on with Virtual World Direct here.  The method in which this syndicate has been set up drastically increases your chances of winning a prize in each draw (bringing the odds of winning any prize down to 1 in 13).  Our own experiences have shown that these odds of winning a prize are not imaginary. 

The reason for these improved odds of winning the lottery is because you become part of a syndicate which only picks 5 main numbers.  The lottery system then enters 44 lines in the lottery made up of these 5 main numbers plus 1 from the remaining 44 numbers (so that all 49 numbers available are used by your syndicate).

As a result, you are guaranteed to win 4 prizes just by matching 2 of your 5 main numbers, as per the table below:

Match Main Balls

e Lottery Syndicate Prizes

UK Lotto Prizes

2 balls 4 prizes: 
4 x 3 ball wins
No prizes
3 balls 44 prizes: 
3 x 4 ball wins
41 x 3 ball wins
1 prizes
1 x 3 ball win
4 balls 44 prizes:
2 x 5 ball wins
42 x 4 ball wins
1 prize:
1 x 4 ball win
4 balls plus bonus ball 44 prizes:
2 x 5 + bonus ball wins
42 x 4 ball wins
1 prize:
1 x 4 + bonus ball win
5 balls 44 prizes:
1 x 6 ball Jackpot win
1 x 5 + bonus ball win
42 x 5 ball wins
1 prize:
1 x 5 ball  win

A good example of the rewards available under this system was during an actual draw, where an e-Lottery syndicate matched 4 main numbers plus the bonus ball and won £139,340.00 (each member receiving £2,843.67).  If you were playing on your own and matched just 4 main numbers and the bonus ball, then you would have won just £56.00.  How does this work??  The syndicate had multiple winning lines - as well as the 5 matching numbers, it was guaranteed to have at least one more number - as a result, the syndicate actually won two 5 ball plus bonus ball prizes (£68,494.00) plus 42 4 ball prizes of £56.00 - total £139,340.00 (44 wins in one draw)


Win £1000 in each UK Lotto draw courtesy of Virtual World DirectThere is also a free chance of winning £1,000 in each UK Lotto draw - you simply have to pick your numbers before each draw and do not have to be a syndicate member to enter this free competition.  However, if you are a member of Virtual World Direct and anyone you personally introduce to the prize draw wins £1000, then you win the same amount.

(Page Last Updated 15/4/06)